Origin and history of geopolitical tensions between the USA and Venezuela

Origin and history of geopolitical tensions between the USA and Venezuela

On the left, US President Donald Trump; on the right the President of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro.

The tensions between United States of America And Venezuela have increased following recent statements by Donald Trump about the fact that his Venezuelan counterpart Nicolás Maduro his “days are numbered”. Relations between the two countries have not always been tense: during the Cold War, Washington and Caracas enjoyed excellent relations favored by their common militancy in the front of Western and anti-communist countries. Things began to change in 1999when the former lieutenant colonel of the Venezuelan army Hugo Chavez he was elected president of Venezuela on the wave of an anti-American populist political program in foreign policy.

This program, which also continued under his successor Maduro, as well as the establishment of collaborative relations between Venezuela and all of Washington’s major adversaries on the international scene and the involvement (not completely clear whether direct or indirect) in international drug trafficking meant that a situation of hostility and almost open belligerence was created between the two previous allies.

The reasons for the tensions between the USA and Venezuela

During the Cold War, both the United States and Venezuela belonged to the Western and anti-communist camp. THE Bilateral relations were strong at all levelsespecially the cheap one. The USA gave particular importance to the political stability of Venezuela due to its strategic position between the Caribbean and South American areas as well as its huge reserves of petroliummainly concentrated in the area ofOrinoco.

Several attempts to destabilize Venezuela by Cuba they also pushed Washington to strengthen military and intelligence collaboration. The peak of this “honeymoon” was reached in May of 1982, when the Americans sold 24 examples of the fighter to the Venezuelan Air Force General Dynamics F-16A/B Block 15 “Fighting Falcon” making Venezuela the first, and for a long time the only, Latin American country to have this flagship aircraft of the Stars and Stripes Air Force equipped.

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An example of General Dynamics F–16A/B Block 15 “Fighting Falcon” of the Venezuelan Air Force. Credit: Chris Lofting

This special relationship ended in 1999 when the former lieutenant colonel (and organizer, in 1992, of an attempted coup d’état to the detriment of the government of the time) Hugo Rafael Chávez Fríasmanaged to get elected President of the Republicthen obtaining full powers thanks to a series of constitutional reforms implemented in the following years. The years of the Chávez presidency (1999-2013) marked a separation of Venezuela from the Western camp and a move closer to what is today defined as the “BRICS bloc”.

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Hugo Rafael Chávez Frías was the first to free his country from its historic partnership with the USA. Credit: Office of the President of Brazil

Symptomatic of the “great somersault” carried out by the Latin American country was the inauguration of a massive rearmament plan, largely favored by the increase in revenue due to the rise in raw material prices, which led Caracas to equip itself with some of the most modern Russian-produced armaments such as fighter-bombers Sukhoi Su-30MKV/MK2 AMV “Flanker-G+”24 copies purchased between 2006 and 2008.

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An example of Sukhoi Su–30MKV/MK2 AMV “Flanker–G+” of the Venezuelan Air Force. Credit: André Austin Du–Pont Rocha

Maduro and the collapse of US-Venezuela relations

The rise to the presidency of Nicolás Maduro Moroswho succeeded Chávez in 2013 after the latter’s death due to illness, it saw a further worsening of relations between the two countries which led numerous analysts to hypothesize on several occasions the materialization of armed actions by Washington aimed at implementing a regime change at the top of Venezuelan power.

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Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro Moros, repeatedly accused of connivance with drug trafficking. Credit: Palácio do Planalto

One of the reasons that worsened relations between Washington and Caracas was the accusation, made several times by the White House against Maduro and other members of his regime, of complicity in international drug trafficking directed towards the United States. It should not be forgotten that the United States currently has a population of over 60 million individuals suffering from drug addiction and treats issues relating to drug trafficking as an attack on national security.

What to expect for the future: is there a risk of conflict between the USA and Venezuela?

Although there have been limited attempts to re-establish dialogue in the past, they all ultimately failed due fundamentally to the parties’ inability to reach a compromise. The Chavista-inspired Venezuelan leadership has consciously carried out a plan to subvert the geopolitical balance in theLatin America while on the other hand the American counterparts have become completely hostile towards not only the leaders of Caracas but also everything that can be associated with the chavismonow identified as an ideology that must be freed from at all costs.

This being the case, the recent increase in tensions that we have witnessed in the last two months in the Caribbean area, with the movement of huge US air and naval assets there – using the relaunch of the fight against drugs – portends a new phase of the conflict between Washington and Caracas, this time more openly belligerent.